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Thursday, November 21, 2024

“Folks … haven’t confronted this sort of uncertainty for the reason that Thirties”

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That’s from ZeroHedge. Contra, listed below are some information.

Determine 1: Prime panel Financial Coverage Uncertainty index, Center panel VIX, Backside panel 75p-25p 1 yr forward inflation dispersion in %. Inflation dispersion is interpolated from quarterly information. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: policyuncertainty.com, CBOE, Philadelphia Fed SPF, NBER.

Determine 2: Prime panel Baker, Bloom, Davis Financial Coverage Uncertainty index, Center panel Chicago Nationwide Monetary Situations Index, Backside panel Jurado, Ludvigson, Ng 1 yr forward macroeconomic uncertainty index. NBER outlined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded grey. Supply: policyuncertainty.com, Chicago Fed, JLN through FRED, NBER.

It might be the case that we are actually experiencing unprecedented uncertainty. Nonetheless, this uncertainty will not be apparently mirrored within the accessible indicators.

 

 

 

This entry was posted on by Menzie Chinn.



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