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Sunday, November 24, 2024
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Cycle

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – Mid-November

Industrial and manufacturing manufacturing down at consensus price (-0.3% m/m for each). Core retail gross sales +0.1% vs. consensus +0.3% m/m. First up,...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – GDP and Personal NFP

GDP underneath Bloomberg consensus of three.0% at 2.8% (GDPNow nails it). ADP personal NFP change at 233K vs. Bloomberg consensus at 110K. Determine 1:...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – August 2024 and Annual Updates

Nonetheless laborious to see the recession in (preliminary) August 2024 knowledge. Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (blue), implied NFP from preliminary...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, with Employment, Month-to-month GDP

Right here’s an image of some key indicators adopted by the NBER BCDC, together with month-to-month GDP: Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators at July’s Finish

Nominal consumption, PCE deflator m/m at consensus, nominal revenue at +0.2% vs. +0.4%. Right here’s the image of key NBER BCDC indicators plus...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, July 1st

Month-to-month GDP up two months in a row. Remaining gross sales in Could up, however not offsetting utterly decline in April. Right here’s...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, Mid-June | Econbrowser

Industrial manufacturing surprises on upside (0.9% vs. 0.3% m/m), whereas nominal retail gross sales enhance modestly (0.1 precise vs. 0.3% consensus). Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators in March/April: Deceleration?

With the employment state of affairs launch, we now have a primary studying on April circumstances. Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (daring...

Stagflation Fears? March NBER Enterprise Cycle Indicators and Instantaneous Inflation

That’s a time period that's invoked in a CNN article as we speak. I consider stagflation as weak progress mixed with excessive inflation....

The Employment Scenario Launch and Enterprise Cycle Indicators for February

January NFP employment progress surprises on the upside, at +275 vs. +198 hundreds consensus. With mixed downward revisions within the prior two months...

Are You Promoting Throughout This Election Cycle? Learn This First.

It’s Tremendous Tuesday right here within the US, when...

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