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Thursday, November 21, 2024
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Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – Mid-November

Diana McGrath -
Industrial and manufacturing manufacturing down at consensus price (-0.3% m/m for each). Core retail gross sales +0.1% vs. consensus +0.3% m/m. First up,...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – GDP and Personal NFP

Diana McGrath -
GDP underneath Bloomberg consensus of three.0% at 2.8% (GDPNow nails it). ADP personal NFP change at 233K vs. Bloomberg consensus at 110K. Determine 1:...
Governments Influence On Markets

Nowcasts, Weekly Indicators, and Additions to the “Recession Camp”

Diana McGrath -
Nowcasts for NY and St. Louis Feds out right now; St. Louis up from 1.14% to 1.73% q/q AR. NY Fed, and GS...
Governments Influence On Markets

State of the Macro Financial system, 10/6/2024: 19 Indicators and 4 Nowcasts

Diana McGrath -
NBER BCDC indicators, different indicators, weekly indicators, nowcasts. As one who famous the excessive probability of recession by August 2024, I can’t see...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – August 2024 and Annual Updates

Diana McGrath -
Nonetheless laborious to see the recession in (preliminary) August 2024 knowledge. Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (blue), implied NFP from preliminary...
Governments Influence On Markets

Excessive Frequency Recession Indicators | Econbrowser

Diana McGrath -
Lewis/Mertens/Inventory and Baumeister/Leiva-Leon/Sims weekly indicators, and Torsten Slok’s rundown. Determine 1: Lewis/Mertens/Inventory Weekly Financial Index (blue), and Baumeister/Leiva-Leon/Sims Weekly Financial Situations Index for US...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, with Employment, Month-to-month GDP

Diana McGrath -
Right here’s an image of some key indicators adopted by the NBER BCDC, together with month-to-month GDP: Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators at July’s Finish

Diana McGrath -
Nominal consumption, PCE deflator m/m at consensus, nominal revenue at +0.2% vs. +0.4%. Right here’s the image of key NBER BCDC indicators plus...
Manufactures Market. B2B

B2B Gross sales Metrics: Key Indicators to Observe for Success

Jack Parker -
  B2B Gross sales Metrics: A Deep Dive 1. Gross sales Exercise Metrics These metrics present a snapshot of your gross sales workforce’s day-to-day actions and...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, July 1st

Diana McGrath -
Month-to-month GDP up two months in a row. Remaining gross sales in Could up, however not offsetting utterly decline in April. Right here’s...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators, Mid-June | Econbrowser

Diana McGrath -
Industrial manufacturing surprises on upside (0.9% vs. 0.3% m/m), whereas nominal retail gross sales enhance modestly (0.1 precise vs. 0.3% consensus). Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll...
Governments Influence On Markets

Enterprise Cycle Indicators in March/April: Deceleration?

Diana McGrath -
With the employment state of affairs launch, we now have a primary studying on April circumstances. Determine 1: Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) employment from CES (daring...
Governments Influence On Markets

Stagflation Fears? March NBER Enterprise Cycle Indicators and Instantaneous Inflation

Diana McGrath -
That’s a time period that's invoked in a CNN article as we speak. I consider stagflation as weak progress mixed with excessive inflation....
Governments Influence On Markets

Some Wisconsin Macro Indicators via February (and Ideas on the Wisconsin GOP Imagined Recession that Wasn’t)

Diana McGrath -
Coincident index for February out right this moment. Determine 1: Wisconsin Nonfarm Payroll Employment (darkish blue), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark measure of NFP (pink), Civilian...
Governments Influence On Markets

The Employment Scenario Launch and Enterprise Cycle Indicators for February

Diana McGrath -
January NFP employment progress surprises on the upside, at +275 vs. +198 hundreds consensus. With mixed downward revisions within the prior two months...

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