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Saturday, January 18, 2025
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NFP

Reconciling the CES NFP with CPS Employment Adjusted to NFP Idea

Heritage Basis’s EJ Antoni has been describing the hole between the institution NFP collection and the CPS employment collection as the idea for...

EJ Antoni Worries in regards to the Hole between CES NFP and CPS Employment

From a X submit at present: There have been widening gaps between NFP and civilian employment within the latest, which he takes as proof...

Enterprise Cycle Indicators – GDP and Personal NFP

GDP underneath Bloomberg consensus of three.0% at 2.8% (GDPNow nails it). ADP personal NFP change at 233K vs. Bloomberg consensus at 110K. Determine 1:...

A Puzzle: Personal NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official [updated]

The puzzle stays: regardless of an under-consensus 99K addition to non-public ADP-Stanford NFP (far beneath consensus 144K). ADP cumulative change above CES cumulative...

A Puzzle: Non-public NFP and the Preliminary Benchmark vs. Present Official

The ADP survey cumulative enhance in non-public NFP since 2023M03 is 3.1mn, extra than the two.8mn reported within the present official CES sequence. In...

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