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Thursday, January 9, 2025

The Future Of Mobility Will Be Related, Autonomous, Shared, Electrical — And Extra

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Executives within the automotive sector spent a number of the previous decade speaking about vehicles which might be related, autonomous, shared, and electrical (CASE, typically ACES). Unsurprisingly, connectivity is much less attention-grabbing to shoppers than what they may do with it, full autonomy on public roads is tough, experience sharing hasn’t been wholeheartedly embraced, and the speed of electrical automobile (EV) adoption has slowed in lots of markets.

Future mobility ecosystems are connected, autonomous, shared, and electric

However possibly these auto execs had been on to one thing. As a substitute of focusing consideration on constructing a automotive that’s CASE, issues develop into much more attention-grabbing (and believable) if we take into consideration the worth of constructing the entire mobility ecosystem CASE. That’s precisely what a cross-disciplinary crew right here at Forrester has been doing, and two reviews based mostly on that work have simply been printed.

Forrester’s New Analysis Collection On The Future Of Mobility Has Now Launched!

In The Future Of Mobility Will Be Related, Autonomous, Shared, Electrical — And Extra, we focus on exterior developments affecting three broad sorts of mobility: private mobility (transferring people or small teams of individuals), mass transit (transferring massive numbers of individuals), and the motion of products (short- or long-distance motion of cargo). These exterior developments embody themes like sustainability, post-COVID modifications in mobility patterns, and a rising curiosity in seamless experiences extra aligned to the shopper’s mobility second than to the seller’s product. The report then builds on that remaining theme, stressing that the way forward for mobility should focus extra on the mobility and fewer on the tech. For instance,

Innovators in mobility use expertise to do some wonderful issues: Concorde used to whisk passengers from New York to London in lower than 3 hours; greater than 500 self-driving taxis transport paying passengers round Wuhan; drones ship mail to a number of of Scotland’s islands; and Maersk minimize the gasoline consumption of 1 tanker by 8% after becoming her with high-tech sails. However Concorde was noisy and never economically viable; Baidu’s taxis in Wuhan are closely sponsored; Royal Mail suspended deliveries within the Orkney Islands after a drone sank within the sea off Hoy; and Maersk offered the Pelican to an Indonesian delivery firm. To safe actual advances in mobility, technological innovation isn’t sufficient. New choices should pull collectively a variety of stakeholders able to making certain that merchandise work in real-world environments (together with real-world climate), are cost-effective and dependable at real-world scale, and play a helpful function within the journeys of individuals residing actual (and complicated) lives.

In Adapt Private Mobility Ecosystems To New Buyer Expectations, we deal with the primary of our three broad sorts of mobility: the motion of people or small teams of individuals. This report explores the connection between private mobility and every of connectivity, autonomy, shared mobility, and electrification. It highlights some early successes and discusses the challenges that forestall these from scaling extra broadly. Organizational silos, and inadequate deal with addressing the actual buyer want, emerge as extra distinguished boundaries than you might need assumed.

Three extra reviews will observe the 2 we simply printed. There might be one every for mass transit and the motion of products, then one will discover how modifications to the mobility sector will play out over the brief time period (two to a few years), medium time period (5 to 10 years), and long term (over 10 years), with Forrester’s predictions on the improvements we must always anticipate to see achieve traction. We even have our report on the state of autonomous mobility applied sciences, an on-demand shopper webinar on the way forward for mobility, and plans for far more.

As all the time, if in case you have your personal views to share, please schedule a briefing and inform me all about them. When you’re a Forrester shopper and wish to focus on (or problem) my considering on this matter, please schedule an inquiry.



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